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The pollsters think that Ed is favourite to become Prime Minister next month for two main reasons.
a)Constituency boundaries are in their favour.
b) They have many more fringe parties that would form a coalition with them.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/apr/08/the-poll-of-pollsters-with-a-month-to-go-its-miliband-by-a-whisker
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