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    ...want to stay full members of the EU and commit to more integration.


    A Channel 4 News survey of Conservative member opinion finds that:

    The next Conservative Manifesto should:
    ...Have a commitment to an in/out referendum to be held in the next Parliament: 42 per cent
    ...Commit to a renegotiation of Britain's terms of membership with no explicit referendum promise: 17 per cent
    ...Commit to a renegotiation of Britain's terms of membership to be followed by an in/out referendum: 41 per cent

    If there was an in/out referendum members would vote:
    ...In: 23 per cent
    ...Out: 70 per cent

    Asked what their preferred option would be:
    ...The UK should remain full members of the EU and participate in further EU integration: only 4 per cent
    ...The UK should remain full members of the EU but reject future integration: 8 per cent
    ...The UK should secure substantial renegotiation of its existing relationship with the EU but remain full members: 34 per cent
    ...The UK should leave the EU altogether and negotiate a separate trade agreement: 54 per cent

    Asked in they think Britain will still be in the EU in 10 years time:
    ...Yes, Britain will still be in the EU and the EU won't be much changed: 26 per cent
    ...Yes, Britain will still be in the EU but the EU will be significantly reformed: 38 per cent
    ...No, Britain will be outside of the EU: 36 per cent

    Well none of that really surprises me. Anti EU feelings have been hardening steadily in the Party ever since Maastricht as is shown in every survey of opinion. Any would-be candidate is guaranteed these days not to be selected if he claims pro-EU sympathies and no-one can be elected leader either by doing so.

    The current Eurozone mess has vindicated those who opposed Maastricht in the Party and will further push opinion towards exit.

    A Conservative majority government will need to offer a renegotiation of our membership to be confirmed by referendum. I am increasingly convinced that within 10 years will will not be 'full' members of the EU which will be a very different beast then.

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