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    It seems fairly certain that the run off will be between Mrs May and Mrs Leadsom with the former hot favourite with the bookies. I have little time for the Home Secretary who has never held another role in Government other than a short spell as Minister for women and equalities. Her opponent was pro EU until 3 years ago and her excuse for changing horses was events in the EU but I don't remember any great changes over many years. We then have the issue of her tax record which she refuses to reveal unless she reaches the last two and it is put to a vote of party members. Many people think that she could win in that situation but if it transpires that she has avoided tax on a grand scale the members will turn against her.

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