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    A Yougov poll in the Times shows the Tory lead cut to 5% points, whether that is just a rogue poll or not we won't know until more are published over the weekend. One question to be answered is where the UKIP will go. In the South it is expected to go to the Tories but in the North and Midlands experts say that most will stay with UKIP if they have a candidate standing or go back to Labour.

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