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    So what would happen if Farage did stand in Dover and Deal? Do we think he would win? I guess Charlie and his like must all be desperately hoping it isn't their patch. South Thanet has to be the favorite.

    The one thing that could hamper the Tories is if it starts to comes across as they are taking votes for granted. Voters hate being taken for granted. Also, recent history tells us that if voters generally do the opposite of popular wisdom - Brexit, Trump etc. The TV debates are a good example, an empty Chair in a TV studio will look ridiculous and smack of complacency.

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