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Natalie will win the seat with a majority of 5000, give or take 10%, unless Boris makes a major boner on the eve of the election, in which case it will be closer.
Well at least you were more correct than I, Pablo (and so were Keith and Captain Haddock). Lost (5p) bets on hung parliament and Brexit Party winning more seats than the Greens. Got Rosie Duffield right but still out of pocket. Gutted!