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    All candidates in this election are sincere in their stated aims, especially Natalie, Charlotte, Nathan and Becky. The other two are parachutists who have chosen to stand in Dover as paper candidates or as a publicity stunt.

    So it’s between Natalie and Charlotte. Nathan and Becky are well-meaning distractions who will probably balance each other out in diluting the right and left vote respectively.

    Natalie will win the seat with a majority of 5000, give or take 10%, unless Boris makes a major boner on the eve of the election, in which case it will be closer. Charlotte has a 100-1 chance. The other candidates have none whatsoever.

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