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    i really have no idea barry, i only bet on what i know.

    just as an example i was reading an article from a chap that is a political analyst for leading bookmakers, so he must be very clued up.

    a brief precis would be as follows;
    1) no chance of a red majority or having more seats than the blues.
    2) people in general are sick of the reds, want change, but not a change for the worse.
    3) the polls mean very little as the marginals do not always reflect the overall opinion poll averages.
    4) no-one knows how the expenses scandal will hit individual constituencies, his view was that even if the errant MP is not standing, his/hers replacement would be tainted.

    barry
    on the subject of may 6th, i named that as the most likely date about a year ago.

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