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    You are wrong howard for one simple reason....... The main driver in this election will be to get out Brown and his cronies.

    The right (like me) will, as the left did Blair, support Cameron at the ballot box. Remember, Governments lose elections, oppositions dont win them.

    Angus Read published a new poll today, a large sample that highlights marginals and shows the difference in battlefield seats like Dover

    Here is the overall national picture, the figures of the last poll they did in brackets.
    CON 38% (40)
    LAB 26% (26)
    LD 19% (18)

    The trend is the same as from other firms with a reducing Tory lead with this poll showing a 7.5% swing Lab to Tory.

    Top 150 LAB-CON marginals, the figures in brackets compare with the 2005 general election.
    CON 42% (33)
    LAB 28% (43)
    LD 15% (17)

    That is a 12% swing Lab to Tory since 2005

    They also looked at LibDem marginals as well again compared to 2005
    CON 33% (29)
    LAB 16% (19)
    LD 39% (46)
    LibDem to Tory swing 5.5%

    These are important figures and similar results have shown up in marginal polls by other organisations relative to the national vote.

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