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Keith, before the next GE, the EU in/out referendum issue will come up big and massive. Many Labour supporters - albeit perhaps a minority - will want such referendum, we could be talking of millions of Labour supporters.
Enough for them to cast a significant vote for UKIP.
Expect surprises! As the GE approaches (it could even come before 2015 considering the Coalition is unstable), UKIP is likely to launch a massive campaign to attract support. Something unseen till now.
So no, Labour will not get a majority vote to enter government, unless they promised an EU in/out referendum.
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