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Keith, perhaps you have not grasped what is actually going on:
The Tories cannot win the next General Election unless they go for an all-out EU referendum, in or out, because the only reason why UKIP is so strong is on account of opposition to EU membership among the Public.
UKIP does not need to win even one seat in Parliament to prevent the Tories forming the next Government, because of the one past the vote system. That means Labour would win, because the Tories and UKIP are dividing- splitting - the vote that would oppose Labour.
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