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    Ukip needs 24 per cent support to have just one MP after 2015 general election

    One in four voters have to back United Kingdom Independence Party at the 2015 general

    election to see just one MP elected, new research says.

    The study from respected forecasters Electoral Calculus sets out the scale of the challenge

    facing Nigel Farage to cement the gains made by his party at last week's local elections.

    Analysis published on its website attempts to use last week's local elections in English and

    Welsh counties and project forward to the likely 2015 general election.

    It said: "We see that UKIP only gets its first few MPs at 24 per cent.

    Even when it is the most popular single party, it can still win fewer seats than Labour."

    It continued: "The short answer is that it is still very difficult for Ukip to win Westminster seats...

    The results are quite striking: even at the (probably overestimated) support level of 23 per cent

    , UKIP will still not win any Westminster seats at all.

    "UKIP will only start to gain some MPs when their national support goes above 23 per cent."

    Electoral Calculus said that Ukip would win enough MPs to form a Government if it won around

    34 per cent of the vote.

    Thank goodness they are only a protest vote...................

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