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    In my opinion the Tories failed to secure a majority at the last general election because the party leadership was too soft on Europe; the rank and file Tory voter is generally far more Euro-sceptic than the Westminster lot. Hence UKIP has picked up the majority of its increased vote from previously loyal Tories who have become disaffected over the Europe issue.

    But paradoxically, while the mood of the country is getting more and more euro-sceptic, the coalition is being forced the other way as a result of the Faustian deal between Clegg and Cameron.

    If the Tories are to be in with a chance of winning the next election they will have to get back the voters who no longer trust them on Europe. The first step to winning back that trust will be to hold the referendum which was promised and which we have so far been denied. Turkey is a side issue at the moment, and if we were to leave the EU or step down to some sort of associate membership, it would be a non-issue as far as the UK is concerned.

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