Guest 696- Registered: 31 Mar 2010
- Posts: 8,115
The mainstream current in Parliament has suffered a serious decline following the County elections.
The monthly ICM poll done for the Guardian shows the latest nationwide opinion of the electorate as of 2 days ago doubling in favour of UKIP.
Here is the result of the contending fronts on the field:
LibLabCon have 73%, a reduction of 12% compared to the last ICM poll from 1 month ago.
UKIP have 18%, up from 9% 1 month ago.
Others have 9%, an increase of 3 percentage points from last month.
However, with only 20-30% of the electorate voting at the county elections, and an average of 30% voting at parliamentary by-elections (a low of 20% to a one-off maximum of 51%), LibLabCon can only claim to receive the support of between 15 to 22 percent of the voting population.
In fact, opinion polls never state how many interviewed people would not vote for any party, and so give a misleading view of the real percentages any party enjoys among the electorate.
It so-by ensues that LibLabCon are a minority party, and steadily in decline, whereas UKIP and Others are on the rise.
Others include BNP (currently 4% with ICM), Greens and the Scottish and Welsh parties (SNP and Plaid Cymru).
At present, UKIP have support on the field equivalent to one quarter of the combined support of LibLabCon.
One month ago, UKIP had just over one tenth of the support that LibLabCon had (9% vs 85%).
Fact remaining that the majority of the masses will not turn out to vote and do not support any political party, minority LibLabCon are being thrashed by UKIP at an impressive rate.
Anyone with their wits about them will understand that the party is over, even more so as LibLabCon are a divided party and are currently making a balls-up of an EU referendum which they are trying to deny the People of Britain.
That said, even YouGov gave UKIP 16% 5 days ago in their latest opinion poll, up from 11% a week earlier.
Brian Dixon
- Location: Dover
- Registered: 23 Sep 2008
- Posts: 23,940
well let the party begin.
Keith Sansum1
- Location: london
- Registered: 25 Aug 2010
- Posts: 23,942
There are issues in what you say Alexander.
1; You can hardly promote the rise in support for UKIP as you couldn't even be bothered to turn out for them.
2; The 3 main parties should always beware at turnout at elections, and the mistrust of ALL politicians
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Guest 696- Registered: 31 Mar 2010
- Posts: 8,115
Keith, Parliament is resembling more a circus as each day goes by.
Keith Sansum1- Location: london
- Registered: 25 Aug 2010
- Posts: 23,942
UKIP did so well alexander,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, without your bothering to support them
ALL POSTS ARE MY OWN PERSONAL VIEWS
Guest 696- Registered: 31 Mar 2010
- Posts: 8,115
Keith, unlike you I did not vote Labour and did not campaign for them.
I haven't campaigned against UKIP.
You did, but that's your right, and no-one is blaming you for it.
Keith Sansum1- Location: london
- Registered: 25 Aug 2010
- Posts: 23,942
i voted for some in the labour party(not all)
ALL POSTS ARE MY OWN PERSONAL VIEWS