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    The Saudis have always had a carrot and stick approach to government. As long as the oil price is high enough there are enough carrots. If the price falls then the stick comes to the fore. They have been sitting on a demographic time bomb for 25 years and if the oil price falls back again there will not be enough carrots to buy off the jobless youth.

    Osama bin Laden might have been contemptuous of the Al-Saud and its wealth but he thought nothing of using the resources of his own family to get him going on the route he chose. The bin Laden family is one of the richest merchant families in the Kingdom but all the similar families (Olayan, al-Jomaih, al-Sudairi, etc.) have their wealth well invested abroad and are resigned to the fact that they will have to go eventually.

    Ultimately the Kingdom will descend into anarchy.

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