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    Keith, from the Telegraph 21 April 2013:
    "(Conservative) party chiefs particularly fear a UKIP surge in counties including Essex, Kent, Gloucestershire, Northamptonshire, Lincolnshire, Suffolk and Norfolk."

    What you are predicting, Keith, is one thing, what the Tory party predicts is a UKIP surge in Kent and along the whole East Coast, and elsewhere too in the Shires.

    You're thinking in terms of four years ago, Keith, when forecasting election results.

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