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    No David, the most likely thing to happen is for terms to be renegotiated for a new relationship with the EU based on a trading agreement. The referendum would be on the acceptance of terms and may include and out option and/or a status quo option.

    In a straight in/out referendum we will lose and get locked into the EU mess forever. The massed forces of the BBC and others will seek to scare people with the great unknown and if you look at the history of referenda the status quo usually wins specially in the face of a scare campaign. It is far easier to prey on fears than make a reasoned case.

    We need an alternative to the EU and not just a leap in the dark to win this.

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