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    Yesterday UKIP was polled at 17% on the Opinium Observer, the Tories at 27%, Labour at 39% and the LibDems at 8%.

    That means, for every 88 people who support Tories or UKIP, 34 are for the latter.
    So if the Conservatives and UKIP made an electoral pact and shared the constituencies between candidates of either one or the other party, 37% of constituencies would have a UKIP candidate, 63% a Conservative.

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