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  Somalia perhaps an exaggeration. But unless they can get the oil flowing reliably again it's a possibility nevertheless. In my view there is no chance of forming a proper democratic government in Libya because:
  
  1. The people do not understand democracy and consider it to be a Western imposition.
  2. There are too many factions and tribes to ever get an adequate consensus on a government model.
  3. Arabs consider insurgency a legitimate means of removing an unjust regime. Distrusting western-style democracy, there will always be factions trying to overthrow it.
  4. Islamic parties will not participate, thereby removing its legitimacy.
  5. The usual Arab government model is a strongman kept in power by buying tribal loyalties. Given that most potential strongmen are tainted by previous Gadhafi loyalty it's hard to see who might fit the bill if they try to -sort of- blend the two models.

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