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While the YouGov polls have UKIP descending from 18% a month ago down to 13%, then 11% and will no doubt have them at 0% in 2 weeks time, this is what real-time election results look like in Thursday's by-elections:
http://ukgeneralelection2015.blogspot.co.uk/2013/06/ukips-by-election-performance-27th-june.html
UKIP averages 26%.
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