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This rebellion is Cameron's Maastricht. He should have seen it coming
Every Tory leader should expect a revolt over Europe. But this time the rebels' anger goes much deeper
John Major shakes hands with Francois Mitterrand at the beginning of a European Community summit plagued by
quarrels over the Maastricht treaty.
The latest Tory rebellion over Europe is like an iceberg, which is why David Cameron has had to change course in
the face of it and promise to bring forward an EU referendum bill. What the prime minister can see - 70
backbenchers threatening to vote against the Queen's speech - is only a fraction of the obstacle. Hidden beneath
thesurface are more substantial opponents and wider causes of resentment.
Quite why this has turned into a potential shipwreck for the prime minister - hitting him as he was in Washington
trying to look statesmanlike - is an intriguing question. After all, if you don't have a plan for dealing with Europe
rebellions you really should not be in Cameron's position. The leader of the Conservatives has to be able to handle
an eruption of Euroscepticism as surely as the All England Club has to decide whether to close the Wimbledon
centre court roof during a shower. It's no good saying, "Who would have thought it, eh, rain in summer?"
You simply cannot stop the Tories banging on about Europe, and certainly not by promising a referendum at some
point, if a renegotiation of some kind does not deliver something or other.
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