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    This rebellion is Cameron's Maastricht. He should have seen it coming

    Every Tory leader should expect a revolt over Europe. But this time the rebels' anger goes much deeper


    John Major shakes hands with Francois Mitterrand at the beginning of a European Community summit plagued by

    quarrels over the Maastricht treaty.

    The latest Tory rebellion over Europe is like an iceberg, which is why David Cameron has had to change course in

    the face of it and promise to bring forward an EU referendum bill. What the prime minister can see - 70

    backbenchers threatening to vote against the Queen's speech - is only a fraction of the obstacle. Hidden beneath

    thesurface are more substantial opponents and wider causes of resentment.

    Quite why this has turned into a potential shipwreck for the prime minister - hitting him as he was in Washington

    trying to look statesmanlike - is an intriguing question. After all, if you don't have a plan for dealing with Europe

    rebellions you really should not be in Cameron's position. The leader of the Conservatives has to be able to handle

    an eruption of Euroscepticism as surely as the All England Club has to decide whether to close the Wimbledon

    centre court roof during a shower. It's no good saying, "Who would have thought it, eh, rain in summer?"

    You simply cannot stop the Tories banging on about Europe, and certainly not by promising a referendum at some

    point, if a renegotiation of some kind does not deliver something or other.

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